Las energías fósiles se están agotando. Con el ritmo de consumos actual las reservas mundiales se habrán agotado antes del 2060, como se demuestra en el libro del profesor de la UPC y presidente de CMES Carles Riba.
Algunos se refugian en negar la evidencia científica que supone el agotamiento de los recursos fósiles, mientras se ven obligados a recurrir a tecnologías cada vez más complejas, como el fracking, para extraer unos recursos cada vez más escasos. Otros proponen la energía nuclear con solución, obviando que también consume un recurso fósil muy escaso cono es el uranio, que se agotará en las próximas décadas. También hay quien propone falsas soluciones, como la captura de CO2, para permitir seguir quemando carbón sin emitir contaminación a la atmósfera, una tecnología que no impedirá que las reservas fósiles de carbón se acaben a mediados de este siglo.
Ante este escenario, la única solución viable es hacer una transición energética hacia un modelo energético sostenible basado en las energías renovables.
Al contrario de lo que mucha gente opina, las energías renovables son, hoy en día, una alternativa real que permitiría cubrir toda la demanda energética y prescindir de los recursos fósiles, con la consecuente reducción de las emisiones de contaminantes y, sorprendentemente para muchos, representado un enorme ahorro económico para todos aquellos países que no disponen de reservas de energía fósil.
A continuación adjuntamos una lista de enlaces a artículos científicos y publicaciones de todo el mundo que analizan, en profundidad y con rigor, y que demuestran la viabilidad y conveniencia de emprender inmediatamente una transición hacia un modelo energético basado completamente en las energías renovables.
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Todo el mundo.
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Europa
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Dinamarca
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Bélgica
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Alemania
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: Holanda
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: California
Transición a un modelo energético 100% renovable para el año 2050. Ámbito: China, Japón y Corea
Todos estos artículos y publicaciones sostienen que, en cada uno de sus ámbitos de estudio, la transición energética hacia un modelo 100% renovable es una solución, no sólo viable, sino beneficiosa. Además sorprende que todos ellos utilicen la fecha de 2050 como límite temporal para hacer la transición, precisamente antes del agotamiento de las energías fósiles previsto como máximo para el año 2060.
Todos estos artículos llegan a conclusiones similares a las del estudio publicado por el vicepresidente de CMES Ramon Sans, donde se expone la propuesta de transición hacia un modelo energético sostenible TE21 propuesto por CMES como solución para el caso catalán, español y europeo, frente al agotamiento de las energías fósiles, proporcionando a la vez una muy sustancial mejora económica al reducir las salidas de capital, aumentar la independencia energética de los países y ciudadanos, y realizando fuertes inversiones locales en tecnología y mano de obra especializada con alto valor añadido.
Last 5th November our colleague, and vice president of CMES, Ramon Sans presented in Vic city, in the “Atlanta” hall, the Energy Transition for XXI century proposal -TE21-, emerged as result of the analysis of the energy situation and the energy evolution prospects. TE21 poses a gradual replacement of all fossil energy with renewable energy within a few decades, assessing the costs and benefits, and demonstrating that make this transition is possible, and it would be an important economic savings, and also showing that not make it will cause an energy collapse in less than 40 years due to fossil fuels exhaustion.
The presentation aroused much interest, and the hall was almost full, with about 600 attendees.
This interest shown by attendees during and after the talk excited Ramon Sans, particularly because Vic is his hometown.
The talk aroused the attention and interest of the participants, as was specially noted in the Question Time, which revealed the sensitivity and growing concern of the society with regard to both the environmental problem of the current energetic model and the need to tackle a new energetic model.
This talk was one more step in the CMES social communication of our concerns as a collective, and has obtained a social response that invites us to continue our work with more intensity.
After such success, Barbera del Valles has also organized a similar talk scheduled for next 26th May at the Public Library Esteve Paluzie. We invite you to attend this or any of the many talks organized by CMES, which you can know through the agenda of this blog, or through our Facebook.
We also thank Eduard Furro the press release and photographs taken on the occasion of this event.
An article published in “El Norte de Castilla” newspaper states that a team of researchers from the University of Valladolid (UVA) has developed a computer model for the prospective analysis of global energy resources which results show that the global energy market will suffer serious tensions between supply and demand between 2020 and 2030.
The study, recently published in Energy, high impact journal, shows that if trends in the global economy does not change drastically, sectors such as transport will struggle to meet its growing energy demand in the next six years (before 2020 ), while sectors such as industrial, residential or electricity may have problems before 2030.
The findings suggest that the confluence of technological advances with important social, political and institutional innovations to enable a transition to a global energy model without serious problems in the global energy supply will be required.
This study confirms the results of own studies developped by CMES, and supports the conclusion that an energy transition to a fully renewable supply should be undertaken immediately as the TE21 proposal for a new energy model supported by CMES.
The energy transition TE21 proposed by CMES, exposed in the book “ The Collapse is Avoidable ” edited by “Octaedro“, written by Ramon Sans, Vicepresident of CMES, in collaboration with Elisa Apulia, has sparket the interest of the “ Institute for Energy and Transport (IET) ” of the European Commission.
Therefore CMES has received, from said agency, a formal invitation for travel to the Head Offices of the EIT in the Netherlands, where Ramon Sans CMES and Carles Riba president, author of the book “ Energy Resources and Crisis ” crisis, also published by “ Octahedron “, will expose their research and findings.
The Institute for Energy and Transport (IET) provides scientific and technical support on energy policy makers in the European Union (EU), with special emphasis to the security of energy supply and to more sustainable, safer and cleaner energy production and use for the future.
The IET is one of the seven institutes of the “ Joint Research Centre ” (JRC) of the European Commission. The JRC is a reference center of science and technology for the EU, and counsel for the policies formulation, serving the common interest of the Member States, being independent of special interests, whether commercial or domestic.
The EIT is based both in Petten (Netherlands) and Ispra (Italy), and has a multidisciplinary team of more than 300 academic, technical and support staff.
CMES appreciate the IET interest for our proposals, and are glad that energy transition proposals as TE21will be studied independently and transmitted to both society and the political bodies, as it was CMES foundational interest.
We hope to publish in the near future the results of this experience.
According to a recent Greenpeace study (created by the consulting Abay) titled “Economic recovery through renewable energy” , make a strong transition to renewable energy, such as that described in the CMES energetic transition proposal TE21, it is not only possible but beneficial to the economy of Spain, confirming the calculations published in the book “The collapse is avoidable” Published by Octahedron, written by Vice of CMES Ramon Sans in collaboration with Elisa Pulla.
According to the Greenpeace study is possible to generate three million jobs between 2015 and 2030, achieve a reduction in the average household energy bill by 34% (25% in electric energy), achieving a reduction of gas emissions greenhouse 75% over 2012 and an increase of two percentage positions of GDP. The transition would require investing 19,500 million per year to change the energy model and orient it towards the renewable energy to achieve a power system based on 95% on clean energy.
In a recent article published in the journal “El periódico de la energía”, the new sustainable energy model TE21, proposed by CMES, is analyzed from the point of view of its technological feasibility and its economic viability. All those who have read the book of our partner Ramon Sans, “The collapse is avoidable“, know the proposed new sustainable energy model TE21 of CMES, proposed as an alternative to the current model that leads inevitably to an energy, economic and social crisis in a few decades, due to the relentless increase in energy consumption, and the inevitable depletion of fossil energy reserves, subject brilliantly analyzed by Carles Riba, president of CMES, in his book “Crisis and energy Resources.”
Those books shows that replacing fossil fuels with renewable energy within a few decades, it is not only possible, it is cheaper than continue with de fossil energy and is also the only way to prevent a sudden collapse of our civilization.
So we invite you to read the quoted article of “El periódico de la energía” that you can find by following this link, and the books of Carles Riba and Ramon Sans. Also you can learn more about the proposed new energy model TE21 attending one of the many talks that CMES organizes periodically, and published on this blog agenda.
In November 2012, Ramon Sans Rovira launched his own proposal of energy transition. Since this very first moment, the CMES (Collective for a New Social and Sustainable Energy Model), because of both the relevance and the seriousness of the proposal, has assumed it as if it were their own. The proposal not only states that the shift from a fossil energy model into one 100% renewable is mandatory -as it was already showed in the book of Carles Riba Romeva, Energy and Resources crises. The end 200 unrepeatable years– but it posits that it is also technically feasible. Beyond positive environmental outcomes, the proposal is grounded on a sound economic analysis. Actually, the report forecasts that between 2015 and 2050, Europe could end up accumulating savings of about USD 16 trillion.
The International Energy Agency or IEA, confirms the results of CMES studies. Making the energetic transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy would save up to $ 71 trillion ( 71.000.000.000.000 ) to the world economy until 2050.
This organization’s members are the governments of 29 countries (mainly Europe , USA , Japan and South Korea) . It was founded after the oil crises of 1973. Its mission is ensure the cheap and regular supply of energie to its members.
Regularly publishes studies related to energy, and in its latest publication has confirmed the CMES thesis. Continue with the current non-renewable energy model will produce great economic losses, as well as serious environmental problems and an increase in global temperature. The solution proposed by the IEA is the transition to renewable energy, but also insists in some solutions wich CMES consider false as carbon capture combined with gas burning .
If you want to know the full content of the report of the IEA can follow the link , or visit the IEA website which also offer all kinds of interesting data concerning energy.
The attached image is an example of the data provided by the website of the IEA , and shows how much energy contained in the energy sources is lost in the conversion proceses (dark gray).