UVA researchers predict global energy supply problems in less than six years

An article published in “El Norte de Castilla” newspaper states that a team of researchers from the University of Valladolid (UVA) has developed a computer model for the prospective analysis of global energy resources which results show that the global energy market will suffer serious tensions between supply and demand between 2020 and 2030.

The study, recently published in Energy, high impact journal, shows that if trends in the global economy does not change drastically, sectors such as transport will struggle to meet its growing energy demand in the next six years (before 2020 ), while sectors such as industrial, residential or electricity may have problems before 2030.

The findings suggest that the confluence of technological advances with important social, political and institutional innovations to enable a transition to a global energy model without serious problems in the global energy supply will be required.

This study confirms the results of own studies developped by CMES, and supports the conclusion that an energy transition to a fully renewable supply should be undertaken immediately as the TE21 proposal for a new energy model supported by CMES.

The gas fare will get increased to compensate the failed Castor gas project

Recent press articles report that the government has approved the payment of 1350 million to the promoter of the submarine off-shore gas storage project known as Castor project, placed on Vinaròs, Castellón. This payment is a compensation for the closure of the project because the first injecting gas tests to the submarine deposits have produced over 500 earthquakes in the region during September 2013. These 1350 million are financed from an additional increase of the gas consumers bill for the next 30 years, thus making even more expensive the cost of energy in Spain, as public compensation for wrong private company investment.
What exactly Castor project?
The project proposes the use of exhausted marine oil wells, located off-shore in front of Castellón, as a gas storage. The technique involves injecting gas in underground geologic deposits, but the gas (unlike oil) can be compressed, so if the pressure increases more gas can be introduced into these deposits. These deposits would have an enormous capacity and serve, along with the paralyzed gas storage project projected under the Doñana National Park, to convert Spain in a gas supplier to Europe as an alternative to Russian gas. Because Spain does not have its own gas reserves, the stored gas will be imported mainly from Algeria and thereafter stored in these deposits and then distributed to Europe, as published in the following article.
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The IEA confirms that renewable energies would reduce energy bills

The International Energy Agency or IEA, confirms the results of CMES studies. Making the energetic transition from fossil fuels to renewable energy would save up to $ 71 trillion ( 71.000.000.000.000 ) to the world economy until 2050.
This organization’s members are the governments of 29 countries (mainly Europe , USA , Japan and South Korea) . It was founded after the oil crises of 1973. Its mission is ensure the cheap and regular supply of energie to its members.
Regularly publishes studies related to energy, and in its latest publication has confirmed the CMES thesis. Continue with the current non-renewable energy model will produce great economic losses, as well as serious environmental problems and an increase in global temperature. The solution proposed by the IEA is the transition to renewable energy, but also insists in some solutions wich CMES consider false as carbon capture combined with gas burning .
If you want to know the full content of the report of the IEA can follow the link , or visit the IEA website which also offer all kinds of interesting data concerning energy.

Perdues

The attached image is an example of the data provided by the website of the IEA , and shows how much energy contained in the energy sources is lost in the conversion proceses (dark gray).

The energy transition tipping point

Over the last decades, renewable energies have matured, and its operating costs have been reduced.
At the same time the most profitable non-renewable energy sites have been depleted, and therefore its operating costs have increased. This trend is accelerating, and lead us to a tipping point, where the non-renewable energy becomes more expensive than renewable energy, thus eliminating the final barrier to its widespread implementation.
In a fascinating article, Chris Nelder (energy analyst and consultant) presents evidence that this tipping point has been reached, and the large non-renewable energy companies hegemony is about to wane.
As always we invite you to read this article.

Nelder-The energy transition-en

Fracking. Analysis report

From immediate results and questionable projections, diferent political, business and media authorities have presented the shale oil and fracking as a new era of fossil fuels.
From CMES we have proposed a calm, pragmatic and scientific analysis from this new technology, analyzing the pros and cons involved, from the energy, economic and ecological perspective.
As a result of this analysis, we generated a report, available here, where we present the main data available relating to fracking technology, andsome conclusions.
We invite you to see the report yourself and get your own conclusions.

CMES_2014_Fracking (C.Riba)

CONDEMNED TO DECREASE (Interview with Antonio Turiel)

PROGRAMA SINGULARS – TV3 – 7 novembre 2012

The physicist and mathematician Antonio Turiel is the guest on Jaume Barbera TV programme. They will talk about the end of fossils energy, and the change of energy and social model. On same line that CMES, Turiel also thinks that to get a sustainable social and energy model the renewables have great potential.

To access the Singulars blog clicking here